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Scottish Premiership
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Kilmarnock logo

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Dundee Utd vs. Dundee
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Kilmarnock vs. Hibernian
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundee win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 35.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
39.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)46.64% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-0.073 -0.07)68.91% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)57.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)25.55% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)60.42% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 39.31%
    Kilmarnock 35.51%
    Draw 25.19%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
May 10, 2025 3pm
gameweek 36
Kilmarnock
3-2
Dundee
Armstrong (31' pen.), Anderson (77'), Deas (90+1')
Donnelly (47')
Cameron (76', 90+5')
Palmer-Houlden (30'), Larkeche (56')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee
Wales (80')
Murray (61'), Deas (82')
Cameron (71')
McGhee (9'), Koumetio (38')
Nov 3, 2024 3pm
gameweek 23
Dundee
3-2
Kilmarnock
Palmer-Houlden (41'), McGhee (56'), Larkeche (90+4')
Adewumi (60'), Ndaba (78')
Anderson (24'), Kennedy (40')
Larkeche (78')
rhs 2.0


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