Scottish Premiership
Dundee
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
Kilmarnock

Dundee vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee 0 - 0 Falkirk
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Simon Murray

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundee win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 35.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Dundee 39.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 35.51% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.96% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.91% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▲ (+0.06)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 76.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.53% ▲ (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 74.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 39.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 60.42% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Dundee 39.31%
Draw 25.19%
Kilmarnock 35.51%
Dundee
1-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Dundee
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
Kilmarnock
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
Dundee
  • Danny Armstrong 31' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 47' yellowcard
  • Bruce Anderson 77' goal
  • Robbie Deas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Seb Palmer-Houlden 30'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 56'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 76'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Dundee
  • Fraser Murray 61' yellowcard
  • Bobby Wales 80' goal
  • Robbie Deas 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 9'
  • yellowcard Billy Koumetio 38'
  • goal Lyall Cameron 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 23
Dundee
Nov 3, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 41' goal
  • Jordan McGhee 56' goal
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 60' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 78' yellowcard
  • Ziyad Larkeche 90'+4' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 24'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 40'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Larkeche 78'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Dundee
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock
  • Ziyad Larkeche 24' goal
  • Mohamad Sylla 30' yellowcard
  • Simon Murray 38' yellowcard
  • Mohamad Sylla 43' redcard
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 60'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 86'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 88'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+4'

Form Data

Dundee 0 - 0 Falkirk
Dundee 1 - 0 Falkirk
Motherwell 0 - 0 Dundee
Motherwell 1 - 0 Dundee
Livingston 0 - 0 Dundee
Livingston 2 - 2 Dundee
St Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
St Mirren 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Falkirk
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Falkirk
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock