Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 3.00pm
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 8.00pm
Falkirk 0 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Falkirk has a probability of 36.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Falkirk win is 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result

Kilmarnock 39.37% (-0.03)
Draw 24.43% (-0.01)
Falkirk 36.2% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.46% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.92% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.08% (-0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 78.12% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.88% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.87% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.13% (+0.02)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5 76.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.45% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.55% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 39.37%
Draw 24.43%
Falkirk 36.2%
Kilmarnock
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
Falkirk
1-2 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • Fraser Murray 4' goal
  • Euan Murray 29' yellowcard
  • Jason Naismith 55' goal
  • Fraser Murray 78' goal
  • goal Aidan Nesbitt 8'
  • yellowcard Ernaldo Krasniqi 53'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Falkirk Community Stadium
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 22, 2016 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Greg Kilpie 3' goal
  • Miles Addison 8' goal
  • Greg Kilpie 62' goal
  • Greg Kilpie 63' yellowcard
  • Kris Boyd 65' goal
  • Kris Boyd 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David McCracken 56'
  • yellowcard Mark Kerr 80'
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 19, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mark Kerr 72' yellowcard
  • Will Vaulks 91' goal
  • yellowcard Tope Obadeyi 69'