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Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Falkirk

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Dundee vs. Falkirk
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Falkirk has a probability of 36.2% and a draw has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Falkirk win is 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawFalkirk
39.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.2% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.13% (0.012 0.01)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.51% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)57.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 39.37%
    Falkirk 36.2%
    Draw 24.43%
KilmarnockDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 36.2%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2025 3pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
3-1
Falkirk
Murray (4', 78'), Naismith (55')
Murray (29')
Nesbitt (8')
Krasniqi (53')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
May 22, 2016 3pm
Finals
Kilmarnock
4-0
Falkirk
Kilpie (3', 62'), Addison (8'), Boyd (65')
Kilpie (63'), Boyd (78')

McCracken (56'), Kerr (80')
rhs 2.0


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