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Dundee United
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St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership
Dec 27, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Kilmarnock logo

vs.

Coverage of the Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 27.76% and a draw has a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
47.34% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)24.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.76% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.153 0.15)48.26% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.138 0.14)70.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.049999999999997 0.05)20.43% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.079999999999998 0.08)52.87% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.119 0.12)31.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.136 0.14)67.82% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 47.34%
    Kilmarnock 27.76%
    Draw 24.89%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-2
St Mirren
(Aggregate 2-2 | St Mirren win 4-3 on penalties)
Mar 29, 2025 3pm
gameweek 31
St Mirren
5-1
Kilmarnock
Boyd-Munce (6', 58'), Idowu (9' pen.), O'Hara (65'), John (69')
Anderson (88' pen.)
Wright (64'), Anderson (70')
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-0
St Mirren
Anderson (8', 65' pen.)

Taylor (21'), Gogic (49')