Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Falkirk
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyreece John-Jules

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 27.76% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

St Mirren 47.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 27.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.03)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 79.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.9% ▲ (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

St Mirren 47.33%
Draw 24.89%
Kilmarnock 27.76%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.89%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren
Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
St Mirren
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 6' goal
  • Roland Idowu 9' goal
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 58' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 65' goal
  • Declan John 69' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 64'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 70'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 88'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
Jan 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
St Mirren
  • Bruce Anderson 8' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 65' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 21'
  • yellowcard Alex Gogic 49'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
St Mirren
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Toyosi Olusanya 7' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 16' yellowcard
  • Mark O'Hara 41' goal
  • Richard Taylor 47' yellowcard
  • goal Marley Watkins 11'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 21'
  • redcard Joe Wright 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 65'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 71' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Watson 90'+1'

Form Data

St Mirren 1 - 0 Livingston
St Mirren 0 - 0 Livingston
St Mirren 3 - 1 Celtic
Hearts 0 - 0 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
St Mirren 0 - 0 Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Falkirk
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Falkirk
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 0 - 3 Rangers
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Rangers