Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Falkirk
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 27.76% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

St Mirren 47.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 24.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 27.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.03)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 79.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 52.9% ▲ (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 68.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 32.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

St Mirren 47.33%
Draw 24.89%
Kilmarnock 27.76%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.89%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren
Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
St Mirren
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 6' goal
  • Roland Idowu 9' goal
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 58' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 65' goal
  • Declan John 69' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 64'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 70'
  • goal Bruce Anderson 88'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
Jan 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
St Mirren
  • Bruce Anderson 8' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 65' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 21'
  • yellowcard Alex Gogic 49'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
St Mirren
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock
  • Toyosi Olusanya 7' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 16' yellowcard
  • Mark O'Hara 41' goal
  • Richard Taylor 47' yellowcard
  • goal Marley Watkins 11'
  • yellowcard Corrie Ndaba 21'
  • redcard Joe Wright 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Liam Polworth 65'
  • goal Jonah Ayunga 71' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Watson 90'+1'

Form Data

St Mirren 1 - 0 Livingston
St Mirren 0 - 0 Livingston
St Mirren 3 - 1 Celtic
Hearts 0 - 0 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
St Mirren 0 - 0 Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Falkirk
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Falkirk
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 0 - 3 Rangers
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Rangers