Scottish Premiership
St Mirren
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston

St Mirren vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Livingston has a probability of 31.35% and a draw has a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Livingston win is 0-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

St Mirren 43.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 24.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Livingston 31.35% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.01% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.16% ▼ (-0.03)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 78.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 46.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.62% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 63.38% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

St Mirren 43.84%
Draw 24.81%
Livingston 31.35%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.81%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.35%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Livingston
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
St Mirren
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Livingston
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
St Mirren
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
St Mirren
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Livingston
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Kelly 37' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Livingston
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
St Mirren
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
St Mirren
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Livingston
  • Mark O'Hara 5' goal
  • Tony Watt 18' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 42' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Livingston
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
  • Cristian Montano 56' goal
  • goal Curtis Main 63'

Form Data

St Mirren 3 - 1 Celtic
Hearts 0 - 0 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 0 Dundee Utd
St Mirren 0 - 0 Dundee Utd
Aberdeen 3 - 3 St Mirren
Aberdeen 0 - 0 St Mirren
Livingston 2 - 2 Dundee
Livingston 0 - 0 Dundee
Motherwell 0 - 0 Livingston
Motherwell 3 - 0 Livingston
Livingston 0 - 0 Hibernian
Livingston 0 - 1 Aberdeen