Scottish Premiership
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 72' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Finlayson 75'

St Mirren vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Livingston 2 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Robbie Muirhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 44.43% (-0.10)
Draw 24.8% (+0.02)
Livingston 30.76% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.76% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.22% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.52% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.7% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.29% (+0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 79.13% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.86% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 46.44% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 53.56% (+0.08)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 71.72% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.27% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.01% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.99% (-0.08)

Score analysis

St Mirren 44.43%
Draw 24.79%
Livingston 30.76%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.45% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Tete Yengi 45'+3' goal
  • David Martindale 69' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Sean Kelly 37' goal
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gogic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Kelly 37' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Ayo Obileye 60' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 70' yellowcard
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Luiyi de Lucas 89' goal
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jamie Brandon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • yellowcard Richard Taylor 44'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
  • goal Stav Nachmani 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Mark O'Hara 5' goal
  • Tony Watt 18' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 42' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Montano 56' goal
  • goal Curtis Main 63'