Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Falkirk |
| 40.3% ( | 24.48% ( | 35.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( | 43.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( | 65.8% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( | 21.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( | 58.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 3-0 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.22% |