Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (6.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.