Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.99% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%) , while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.