Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chauvigny win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.93% and a win for Montreuil FC had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chauvigny win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-3 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%) , while for a Montreuil FC win it was 2-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.