Segunda Division
Dec 21, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 

Burgos
1-1
ZaragozaReal Zaragoza

Gonzalez Ballesteros (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bakis (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (11.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
BurgosDrawReal Zaragoza
38.57% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)32.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.9% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)80.58% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.034999999999997 0.03)66.58% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)34.06% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)70.75% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 38.56%
    Real Zaragoza 32.88%
    Draw 28.54%
BurgosDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 32.88%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2025 8pm
Round 2
Zaragoza
0-1
Burgos

Sebastian Serrano (12'), Sebastian Serrano (13'), Cuenca Aranda (40'), Tachi (45'), (112'), Radovanovic (112')
Gonzalez (116')
Garcia (14'), Bunuel (59'), Bunuel (61')
Feb 16, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 27
Zaragoza
0-1
Burgos

Serrano (17'), Arriaga (51'), Sans Lopez (87')
Gomez (55')
Cordoba (84')
Sancris (41'), Zorrilla (61'), Cordoba (68')
Sep 15, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Burgos
1-0
Zaragoza
Sancris (90+3')
Nino (83'), Forns Montes (86'), Atienza (87')

Moya (46'), Kosa (84'), Bazdar (90')
May 5, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 38
Zaragoza
1-3
Burgos
Grau (45+1')
Gamez (21')
Montiel (28'), Curro (46'), Sancris (84')
Gonzalez (55')
Oct 30, 2023 8pm
gameweek 13
Burgos
1-1
Zaragoza
Matos (90+3')
Matos (81'), Navarro (90+1')
Mollejo (38')
Bakis (26'), Mollejo (45+3')