Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.