Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.