Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.