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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 5, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
5 - 0
Amorebieta

Stoichkov (10'), Aketxe (45+3' pen.), Corpas (49'), Bautista (79'), de la Fuente (82')
Soriano (14'), Aketxe (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Etxeita (45+2'), Sibo (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions
Last Game: Albacete 2-1 Eibar
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Amorebieta
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawAmorebieta
63.36% (-0.242 -0.24)22.13% (0.211 0.21)14.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.73% (-0.512 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (-0.74 -0.74)52.78% (0.745 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (-0.635 -0.64)74.4% (0.642 0.64)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)16.1% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (-0.613 -0.61)45.5% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.12% (-0.399 -0.4)47.88% (0.405 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.86% (-0.296 -0.3)83.14% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 63.35%
    Amorebieta 14.51%
    Draw 22.12%
EibarDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 14.07% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 63.35%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 14.51%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 10
Amorebieta
1-2
Eibar
Dorrio (8')
Eraso (6'), Edwards (45+3'), Nunez (45+4')
Rahmani (12'), Aketxe (90+2')
Stoichkov (64')
Mar 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Eibar
1-0
Amorebieta
Stoichkov (1')
Venancio (77')
Sep 25, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Amorebieta
1-1
Eibar
Obieta Alberdi (22')
Luengo (52'), Larrucea (59')
Luengo (78')
Exposito (42' pen.)