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Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Eldense

Eibar
5 - 1
Eldense

Aketxe (8' pen.), Alvarez (72'), de la Fuente (79', 85'), Pereira (86')
Gutierrez (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chapela (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 3-1 Eibar
Sunday, March 24 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Eldense
Sunday, March 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawEldense
61.42% (0.505 0.5)23.38% (-0.274 -0.27)15.2% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 41.89% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (0.613 0.61)56.17% (-0.61000000000001 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.494 0.49)77.23% (-0.49199999999999 -0.49)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (0.41 0.41)17.98% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.17% (0.696 0.7)48.83% (-0.694 -0.69)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.07% (0.050999999999995 0.05)48.93% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)83.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 61.41%
    Eldense 15.2%
    Draw 23.38%
EibarDrawEldense
1-0 @ 15.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 12.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.41% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.2%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Eldense
2-1
Eibar
Ortuno (29'), Andone (39')
Piina (66')
Aketxe (89')
Venancio (59'), Gutierrez (65'), Rahmani (67'), Vencedor (83')