Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Eldense
48.72% ( 0.37)	27.32% ( -0.07)	23.96% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 44.33% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40% (

0.03)

60% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

0.02)

80.24% (

-0.02)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

0.19)

24.78% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65% (

0.26)

59.34% (

-0.26)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.92% (

-0.26)

41.07% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

-0.23)

77.62% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 48.71%

Eldense 23.96%

Draw 27.31%

Mirandes	Draw	Eldense
1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.71%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.96%