Segunda Division | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Eldense

Real Oviedo
1 - 1
Eldense

Baston (71' pen.)
Colombatto (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chapela (23')
Timor (17'), Clemente (33'), Mateu (33'), Estevez (72'), Dauda (82'), Poloni (90+6')
Dumic (70')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 3-2 Espanyol
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.96%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Real OviedoDrawEldense
55.27% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.56% (-0.038 -0.04)17.17% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 35.77% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.49% (0.119 0.12)66.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.07% (0.08 0.08)84.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.69% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (0.085000000000001 0.09)59.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.5% (0.099999999999994 0.1)52.5% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67% (0.064 0.06)86.33% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 55.27%
    Eldense 17.17%
    Draw 27.55%
Real OviedoDrawEldense
1-0 @ 18.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 55.27%
0-0 @ 12.96% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.17%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
Eldense
1-3
Real Oviedo
Salcedo (80' pen.)
Soberon (82')
Bretones (6'), De la Fuente (14'), Baston (25')