Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.