Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.