Segunda Division Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2023 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Jose Matos 50' goal
  • Alex Bermejo 63' goal
  • Grego 89' goal
  • yellowcard Javier Ontiveros 26'
  • yellowcard Alex Fores 59'
  • goal Andres Ferrari 74'
  • yellowcard Andres Ferrari 81'
  • yellowcard Jorge Pascual 87'
  • goal Andres Ferrari 90'+5'

Burgos vs Villarreal II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 5.30pm
Tenerife 2 - 1 Burgos
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Curro

Villarreal II

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 9, 2023 8.00pm
Villarreal II 3 - 1 Espanyol
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Alex Fores

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result

Burgos 52.92% (+0.28)
Draw 26.73% (+0.12)
Villarreal II 20.34% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.87% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.95% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 61.04% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 18.97% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 81.03% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 7.75% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 92.25% (+0.32)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 76.68% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 23.31% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 42.74% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 57.26% (+0.30)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5 54.6% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 45.4% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 18.75% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 81.25% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Burgos 52.92%
Draw 26.73%
Villarreal II 20.34%
Burgos
1-0 @ 15.41% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 11.22% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.45% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.58% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.73%
Villarreal II
0-1 @ 8.36% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 20.34%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Juan Artola 7' goal
Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal