Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Espanyol
33.39% ( 1.86)	27.11% ( 0.71)	39.5% ( -2.56)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.92% (

-2.35)

55.08% (

2.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

-1.97)

76.33% (

1.97)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

0.07)

30.96% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

0.08)

67.26% (

-0.08)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-2.44)

27.24% (

2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-3.29)

62.67% (

3.29)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 33.39%

Espanyol 39.5%

Draw 27.1%

Villarreal II	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.5%