Segunda Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Espanyol logo

Cartagena
0 - 2
Espanyol


Rico (17'), Embalo (61'), Jony (90+8'), Alarcon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milla (20'), Braithwaite (90+3')
Nico (32'), Braithwaite (39'), Lozano (61')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Espanyol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-0 Cartagena
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Espanyol

All competitions
Last Game: Espanyol 3-0 Racing de Ferrol
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawEspanyol
33.65% (-0.90199999999999 -0.9)27.21% (0.201 0.2)39.14% (0.706 0.71)
Both teams to score 50% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.6% (-0.898 -0.9)55.4% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (-0.742 -0.74)76.6% (0.746 0.75)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-1.032 -1.03)30.95% (1.037 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-1.23 -1.23)67.24% (1.233 1.23)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.6% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)63.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 33.65%
    Espanyol 39.14%
    Draw 27.2%
CartagenaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 10.99% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.234 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.14%

How you voted: Cartagena vs Espanyol

Cartagena
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Espanyol
66.7%
9
Head to Head
May 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 39
Espanyol
0-2
Cartagena

Embarba (55'), Cabrera (90+3')
Delmas (22'), Castro (52' pen.)
Dec 2, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
Cartagena
1-3
Espanyol
Zorrilla (47')
Simon (18'), Carrasquilla (42')
Nico (75'), De Tomas (80' pen.), Puado (85')
Bare (27'), Pedrosa (41')