Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Amorebieta
43.8% ( 0.17)	28.08% ( 0.47)	28.12% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

-1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.78% (

-1.9)

60.22% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.59% (

-1.46)

80.41% (

1.47)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.8)

27.34% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-1.04)

62.79% (

1.05)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

-1.55)

37.54% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

-1.55)

74.32% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 43.8%

Amorebieta 28.12%

Draw 28.08%

Espanyol	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.83% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.12%