Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Campo Municipal de Urritxe

Amorebieta
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Unzueta (90+3')
Lozano (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pascanu (67'), Crespo (88')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Amorebieta and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amorebieta in this match.

Result
AmorebietaDrawPonferradina
45.3% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)27.76% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)56.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.012 -0.01)77.4% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6%59.4%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.75% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.52% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Amorebieta 45.29%
    Ponferradina 27.76%
    Draw 26.93%
AmorebietaDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.29%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2021 3pm
Ponferradina
1-1
Amorebieta
Espiau (80')
Crespo (85')
Guruzeta (42')
Gil (39'), Olaetxea (54'), Pena (61'), Larrucea (77')