Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 1, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Ponferradina4 - 2Cartagena
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Cartagena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
Last Game: Tenerife 1-2 Cartagena
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Cartagena |
| 42.1% | 27.32% | 30.58% |
| Both teams to score 48.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
