Sporting Gijon vs Cartagena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.