Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
37.99%	27.1%	34.91%

Both teams to score 50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.15%

54.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.85%

76.15%

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72%

28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.36%

63.64%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14%

29.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05%

65.95%

Score Analysis

Mirandes 37.99%

Cartagena 34.9%

Draw 27.1%

Mirandes	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.99%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.9%