Ponferradina
3 - 1
Lugo

Espiau (13'), Naranjo (52'), Ojeda (54')
Amo (11'), Medina (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moyano (89')
Alende (47')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Lugo
49.53%	25.86%	24.61%

Both teams to score 48.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.61%

54.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24%

75.76%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01%

21.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7%

55.29%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67%

37.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88%

74.12%

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 49.52%

Lugo 24.61%

Draw 25.86%

Ponferradina	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.52%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.61%