Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
0 - 1
Lugo


Aizpuru (45+5'), Sielva (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barreiro (88' pen.)
Djalo (10'), Hacen (32'), Barreiro (36'), Canella (44'), Peybernes (76')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.8%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
PonferradinaDrawLugo
49.13%28.9%21.96%
Both teams to score 38.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.82%66.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.29%84.7%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56%27.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08%62.91%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31%46.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.74%82.24%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 49.12%
    Lugo 21.96%
    Draw 28.88%
PonferradinaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 16.56%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 3.52%
4-0 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 49.12%
0-0 @ 12.8%
1-1 @ 12.61%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.96%