Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
3 - 1
Burgos

Naranjo (19'), Antonio Rios (40'), Saverio (85')
Adot (90'), Moran (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guillermo (70')
Matos (45')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

Last Six:
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

Last Six:
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Girona
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
50.1%26.08%23.82%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21%55.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.92%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67%22.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43%75.57%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 50.1%
    Burgos 23.82%
    Draw 26.07%
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.82%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2021 5.15pm
Burgos
1-0
Ponferradina
Valcarce (16')
Valcarce (44')

Moran (43')
Rodriguez (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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