Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jose Naranjo 19' goal
  • Jose Antonio Rios 40' goal
  • Kike Saverio 85' goal
  • Paris Adot 90' yellowcard
  • Erik Moran 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Matos 45'
  • goal Guillermo 70'

Ponferradina vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 1, 2022 5.15pm
Ponferradina 4 - 2 Cartagena
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Apr 30, 2022 7.30pm
Burgos 0 - 2 Almeria
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Valcarce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result

Ponferradina 50.1%
Draw 26.08%
Burgos 23.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.51%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.21%
Under 2.5 55.79%
Over 3.5 23.08%
Under 3.5 76.92%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 77.67%
Under 0.5 22.33%
Over 1.5 44.2%
Under 1.5 55.8%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 61.16%
Under 0.5 38.84%
Over 1.5 24.43%
Under 1.5 75.57%

Score analysis

Ponferradina 50.1%
Draw 26.07%
Burgos 23.82%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.07%
Burgos
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.82%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 16
Nov 14, 2021 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 16' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Moran 43'
  • redcard Cristian Rodriguez 90'+5'