Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Ponferradina3 - 1Burgos
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Girona
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Leganes | 41 | -1 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Burgos |
| 50.1% | 26.08% | 23.82% |
| Both teams to score 47.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
