Segunda Division | Gameweek 41

May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de La Romareda

Zaragoza
1 - 0
Lugo

Vada (74')
Alvarez (18'), Chavarria (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moyano (51'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Torres (59')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Lugo
56% ( 2.13)	25.42% ( -0.75)	18.58% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.42% (

1.01)

58.58% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.86% (

0.78)

79.14% (

-0.78)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

1.3)

20.98% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26% (

1.99)

53.74% (

-1.99)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.03% (

-1)

45.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.31% (

-0.79)

81.69% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 55.99%

Lugo 18.58%

Draw 25.41%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.99%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.58%