Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Eibar
35.24%	28.83%	35.93%

Both teams to score 45.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.76%

61.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.83%

81.17%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12%

32.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55%

69.45%

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57%

32.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05%

68.94%

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 35.23%

Eibar 35.92%

Draw 28.82%

Ponferradina	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.92%