Ponferradina
3 - 2
Real Sociedad B

Moran (30'), de Souza (72' pen.), Espiau (90+3')
Abedzadeh (61'), Espiau (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Karrika (62' pen.), Lobete (80')
Clemente (71')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Real Sociedad B.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Real Sociedad B
49.76%	26.18%	24.06%

Both teams to score 47.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.02%

55.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93%

77.07%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45%

22.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86%

56.14%

Real Sociedad B Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28%

38.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54%

75.46%

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 49.76%

Real Sociedad B 24.06%

Draw 26.17%

Ponferradina	Draw	Real Sociedad B
1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.76%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.06%