Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.