Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Malaga	Draw	Real Valladolid
24.54%	26.81%	48.65%

Both teams to score 46.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13%

57.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41%

78.59%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66%

39.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96%

76.04%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13%

23.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93%

58.07%

Score Analysis

Malaga 24.54%

Real Valladolid 48.65%

Draw 26.81%

Malaga	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 4.09% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.54%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 13.45% 0-2 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-3 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.65%