Amorebieta
1 - 2
Malaga

Orozco (89')
Guruzeta (45+6'), San Jose (69'), Luengo (73'), Orozco (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandon (31' pen.), Juande (52')
Vadillo (5'), Jozabed (45+6'), Febas (54'), de la Fuente (90+4')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Amorebieta and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Malaga
33.49%	28.64%	37.87%

Both teams to score 45.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.31%

60.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.24%

80.76%

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22%

33.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56%

70.43%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78%

67.21%

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 33.48%

Malaga 37.87%

Draw 28.63%

Amorebieta	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.48%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63%	0-1 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.87%