Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
0 - 1
Burgos


Peybernes (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rubio (41')
Elgezabal (45+2'), Navarro (67'), Antonio Caro (90+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

Last Six:
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division

Burgos

Last Six:
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Girona
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawBurgos
44.35% (0.070999999999998 0.07)27.91%27.74% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)59.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (-0.023 -0.02)80.09% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)62.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)37.62% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.4% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 44.35%
    Burgos 27.75%
    Draw 27.9%
MalagaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Burgos
3-0
Malaga
Valcarce (17', 67'), Manuel Garcia (61')
Rodriguez (25')
rhs 2.0


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