Segunda Division Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mathieu Peybernes 81' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Rubio 41'
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Raul Navarro 67'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 90'+4'

Malaga vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 15, 2022 8.00pm
Tenerife 0 - 2 Malaga
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Brandon

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
May 14, 2022 3.00pm
Burgos 1 - 1 Cartagena
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Valcarce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 44.35% (+0.08)
Draw 27.91%
Burgos 27.74% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.63% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.2% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 80.09% (+0.03)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 73.15% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.85% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.15% (-0.04)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 62.38% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.62% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 25.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.4% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Malaga 44.35%
Draw 27.9%
Burgos 27.75%
Malaga
1-0 @ 13.28% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.73% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 44.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.9%
Burgos
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 17' goal
  • Alvaro Rodriguez 25' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Garcia 61' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 67' goal