Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Cartagonova, Cartagena, Murcia

Cartagena
5 - 0
Amorebieta

Castro (18' pen., 65', 68'), Bodiger (44'), Gallar (56')
Bodiger (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Larrazabal (19')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

Last Six:
Last Game: Tenerife 1-2 Cartagena
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

Last Six:
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawAmorebieta
60.12% (0.609 0.61)22.6% (-0.164 -0.16)17.28% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)49.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)71.96% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.19900000000001 0.2)16.23% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.26% (0.358 0.36)45.74% (-0.361 -0.36)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.53% (-0.556 -0.56)42.47% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.16% (-0.482 -0.48)78.84% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 60.11%
    Amorebieta 17.28%
    Draw 22.6%
CartagenaDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 17.28%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Amorebieta
2-3
Cartagena
Olaetxea (13'), Larrazabal (63')
Larrazabal (38')
Castro (19', 73'), Gallar (90+1')
Cayarga (38'), Delmas (48')