Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Real Valladolid
30.43%	26.53%	43.04%

Both teams to score 51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36%

53.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86%

75.14%

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74%

32.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24%

68.77%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74%

59.26%

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 30.43%

Real Valladolid 43.03%

Draw 26.53%

Alcorcon	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.43%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.03%