Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo
1 - 0
Malaga

Sene (78')
Seoane (39'), Gonzalez (49'), Sene (81'), Claveria (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brandon (34')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugo in this match.

Result
LugoDrawMalaga
38.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)33.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)78.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)65.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76%32.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Lugo 38.22%
    Malaga 33.82%
    Draw 27.95%
LugoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.22%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.82%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 7.30pm
Malaga
1-0
Lugo
Rodriguez (31')
Gassama (13')

Alende (33'), Pita (54')
Apr 4, 2021 5.15pm
Lugo
0-1
Malaga

Valentin (55'), Venancio (82'), Rama (90+1')
Scepovic (84')
Juande (34'), Escassi (90')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Malaga
2-2
Lugo
Juande (70', 88')
Munoz (44'), Chavarria (90+2'), Enriquez (90+4')
Quintana (56')
Rama (27'), Venancio (40')
Torres (20'), Angel Carrillo (57'), Ramos (90')
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
Lugo
0-0
Malaga

Josete (41'), de la Pena (88')

De Dios Rivas Margalef (13'), Bare (63')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Malaga
1-1
Lugo
Sadiku (12')
Villanueva (28'), Sadiku (73'), Munoz (96'), Benkhemassa (102'), Juankar (103')
Pita (102')
Morente (44'), Leuko (50'), Djalo (90'), Peybernes (102')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!