Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 18.23% ( | 23.66% ( | 58.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( | 52.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( | 74.36% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.06% ( | 42.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.76% ( | 79.24% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( | 17.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( | 48.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 2-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.06% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0-2 @ 11.37% ( 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-3 @ 6.52% ( 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0-4 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( 0-5 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.1% |