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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Spotify Camp Nou
Atletico Madrid logo

Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico

Torres (44')
Alonso (28'), Busquets (57'), Raphinha (77'), Gavi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Griezmann (75'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (81'), Reguilon (83'), Barrios (83'), Morata (86'), Niguez (90+3'), Grbic (90+1')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, April 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Barcelona 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Unless something extraordinary happens, Barcelona are going to win the title this season, but Atletico will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat here. Simeone's side have been the best team in the division over the last few weeks, and we are therefore finding it very difficult to back them to lose on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
50.31% (0.253 0.25) 23.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.58% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (-0.25 -0.25)41.19% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.255 -0.26)63.58% (0.254 0.25)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.321 -0.32)28.64% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.404 -0.4)64.45% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 50.31%
    Atletico Madrid 26.58%
    Draw 23.11%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Atletico

Barcelona
55.1%
Draw
26.5%
Atletico Madrid
18.4%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Atletico
0-1
Barcelona

Correa (79'), Molina (85')
Savic (90+2')
Dembele (22')
Araujo (56'), Christensen (82'), Raphinha (87')
Torres (90+2')
Feb 6, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 23
Barcelona
4-2
Atletico
Alba (10'), Gavi (21'), Araujo (43'), Alves (49')
Alba (52'), de Jong (72'), Gavi (83')
Alves (69')
Carrasco (8'), Suarez (58')
Wass (89'), Herrera (90')
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
gameweek 8
Atletico
2-0
Barcelona
Lemar (23'), Suarez (44')
De Paul (45+1'), Koke (78')

Gavi (20')
May 8, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Barcelona
0-0
Atletico

Moriba (58'), Alba (82'), Pique (82')

Niguez (35'), Felipe (46'), Koke (65')
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
gameweek 10
Atletico
1-0
Barcelona
Carrasco (45+3')
Koke (9'), Carrasco (26'), Savic (79'), Gimenez (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239
> La Liga Full Table


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