La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico

Torres (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Barcelona
Sunday, April 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
50.31% ( 0.25)	23.11% ( 0.01)	26.58% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.81% (

-0.25)

41.19% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42% (

-0.26)

63.58% (

0.25)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

-0)

16.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73% (

-0)

46.27% (

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-0.32)

28.64% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-0.4)

64.45% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 50.31%

Atletico Madrid 26.58%

Draw 23.11%

Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.31%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.11%	1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 26.58%