La Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Raphinha 45'+1'

Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Inaki Williams

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 3.15pm
Barcelona 1 - 0 Valencia
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 31.06% (-0.14)
Draw 26.16% (-0.06)
Barcelona 42.78% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.1% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 51.9% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 26.35% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 73.65% (-0.17)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.93% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.78% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.22% (-0.01)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 75.93% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 24.07% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 41.65% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 58.35% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 31.06%
Draw 26.16%
Barcelona 42.78%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.16%
Barcelona
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.55% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.78%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
  • Ousmane Dembele 12' goal
  • Sergi Roberto 18' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 22' goal
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
La Liga Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 37' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 48' yellowcard
  • Gerard Pique 70' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 73' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 90' goal
  • Memphis Depay 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mikel Balenziaga 54'
Copa del Rey
Jan 20, 2022 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
ET San Mamés Barria
  • Iker Muniain 2' goal
  • Dani Garcia 30' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 86' goal
  • Oscar de Marcos 104' yellowcard
  • Iker Muniain 105'+1' goal
  • Inaki Williams 119' yellowcard
  • Iker Muniain 120' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 20'
  • yellowcard Gerard Pique 76'
  • goal Pedri 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Pedri 97'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 104'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 105'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inigo Martinez 20' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 50' goal
  • yellowcard Eric Garcia 28'
  • goal Memphis Depay 75'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 76'
  • redcard Eric Garcia 90'+3'
Copa del Rey
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dani Garcia 39' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90' yellowcard
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 60'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 63'
  • goal Lionel Messi 68'
  • goal Lionel Messi 72'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lionel Messi 20' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 47' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 51' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 75' goal
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 32'
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 39'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Garcia Toral 39'
  • goal Jordi Alba 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ander Capa 77'

Build-up

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