La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 26, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 0
Barcelona

Bilal Toure (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Almeria's El Bilal Toure celebrates scoring their first goal on February 26, 2023

Xavi furious with Barcelona's La Liga loss at Almeria

Barcelona boss Xavi calls Sunday's 1-0 defeat to Almeria in La Liga his team's "worst match of the season".

Feb 27, 09:11

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Barcelona
11.41% ( 2.8)	17.31% ( 2.57)	71.28% ( -5.37)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.76% (

-3.66)

39.23% (

3.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

-3.93)

61.57% (

3.93)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.68% (

3.02)

44.31% (

-3.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.62% (

2.36)

80.38% (

-2.36)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.24% (

-2.11)

9.76% (

2.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.54% (

-5.15)

32.46% (

5.15)

Score Analysis

Almeria 11.41%

Barcelona 71.27%

Draw 17.31%

Almeria	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.26) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.41%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 1.23) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.53) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.31%	0-2 @ 11.7% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.58) 0-3 @ 9.08% ( -1.17) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 5.28% ( -1.3) 1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.63) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.14) 0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.93) 1-5 @ 2% ( -0.53) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.5) Other @ 3.75% Total : 71.27%