Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
17.8% ( -0) | 22.79% ( -0) | 59.4% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( 0.01) | 49.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( 0.01) | 71.95% ( -0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.17% ( 0) | 41.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.71% ( 0) | 78.29% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( 0.01) | 16.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.83% ( 0.02) | 46.17% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 12.42% 0-2 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 59.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |