Copa del Rey | Round of 32

Jan 4, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
0 - 2
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Oviedo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Granada
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Elche
Thursday, December 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.51% ( -0.35)	25.26% ( -0.12)	56.23% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 42.98% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87% (

-0.01)

58.13% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

-0.01)

78.79% (

0.01)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.21% (

-0.42)

45.79% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.44% (

-0.33)

81.56% (

0.33)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

0.19)

20.71% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

0.29)

53.31% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 18.51%

Atletico Madrid 56.23%

Draw 25.26%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.51%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 14.93% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.75% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.23%