Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Arenteiro had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.38%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Arenteiro win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Arenteiro	Draw	Atletico Madrid
14.14%	22.77%	63.09%

Both teams to score 41.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23%

55.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1%

76.9%

Arenteiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.75%

50.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.17%

84.82%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.54%

Score Analysis

Arenteiro 14.14%

Atletico Madrid 63.08%

Draw 22.77%

Arenteiro	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.96% 2-1 @ 3.61% 2-0 @ 2.05% Other @ 2.52% Total : 14.14%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.77%	0-1 @ 15.22% 0-2 @ 13.38% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-4 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.13% Total : 63.08%