Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 67.12% ( | 20.7% ( | 12.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( | 51.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( | 73.67% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( | 14.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.31% ( | 42.69% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.95% ( | 51.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.63% ( | 85.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.1% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 3.12% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.18% |