Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Espanyol |
| 43.25% ( | 28.93% ( | 27.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% ( | 82.56% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( | 29.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( | 39.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( | 76.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.46% Total : 27.81% |