Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
36.06% ( 0.02) | 28.82% ( -0.01) | 35.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.37% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% ( 0.02) | 61.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.84% ( 0.02) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.02) | 32.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( 0.02) | 68.84% ( -0.02) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( 0) | 32.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( 0) | 69.53% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |